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by spaceman_2020 1289 days ago
I reckon we are about 3 years from most textual content online being created by bots, 5 years from static visual content being bot-created, and 7-8 years from bot-created visual content clogging up all social media.
4 comments

Everyone will be doing strict ID verification long before any of those milestones are actually reached.
3, 5 and 7 seem awfully pessimistic no?
I'll take the under.
> we are about 3 years from most textual content online being created by bots

0 years.

1 year for this tech to be incorporated into most cheap/free creative tools.

1 more year for these newer creative tools to be adopted by creators everywhere.

1 more year for the humans to completely give up.

You have to remember that tech takes time to permeate to the bottom rung. Most of my non tech friends haven’t even heard of Dall-E, let alone chatGPT.

1 year? The Internet's already rife with SEO spam without ML algos creating convincing looking copy. They'll copy a site wholesale just with a different domain name. Spammers are probably already using this to generate copy for websites.

eg https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33640819