[rayiner]

Within any given state, Republican suburbs and rural areas are almost always safer than democrat run cities. For example, in Louisiana, the homicide rate in New Orleans is 41 per 100,000. In neighboring St. Charles Parish it’s 1/10 that. The same thing is true for say Massachusetts. The homicide rate in NYC is 5.7 per 100,000. The homicide rate in Putnam County is 0.4 per 100,000.

The statistic you’re referring to misleadingly disregards regional patterns in violent crime. Southerners are more violent than folks in the northeast, and midwesterners are somewhere in between. But within each region the bill of violent crime is still concentrated in the, usually blue, cities in those states.

[tptacek]

All you're observing here is that metro areas get more conservative as you move from dense downtowns to almost-rural exurbia, and crime tends to track density.