[tptacek]

That's a dumb bet. The crimes he'd be on the hook for all have sentences that mostly hinge on 2B1.1(b), which scales sentences by the dollar amount of the crime. He'll easily be into double digit years just based on the dollar amounts involved here, if he's convicted.

He'll also be charged federally. There is no federal parole.

[diogenescynic]

SBF is the largest donor to the Democratic Party this year and his mom runs an org that raises hundreds of millions for political bribes each year. I'm sure that won't be forgotten.

Elizabeth Holmes committed worse crimes and got a slap on the wrist--mostly because the was stealing from the elite. People are going to forget all about SBF and he'll get charged in a few years and get forgotten until he times some meager sentence and then re-emerges a few years later as the new Jordan Belfort, probably selling some new get rich quick scheme.

[tptacek]

OK. Want to bet?