| > Current state of autonomous driving is not sophisticated enough to predict cars crossing lanes that's turning and crossing your lane from oncoming traffic.
This is just completely false. AV software stacks absolutely can and do predict off-nominal behavior like you describe. In general they predict better than humans, too. you're talking about using a lidar and some object detection (for car and other large objects) to predict human behavior. you obviously don't realize that the human behavior is in the other car with eyeballs, mouth, head movement, body movement. that part is 100% not being tracked. that part is 100% human behavior. and that's where 100% of car movements start. - so everything that the "AV" is predicting as what you call "human behavior" is super old information because the human in another car is full seconds ahead of doing whatever the computer is reacting to later. the computer sees objects move around and these movements are seconds after the human brain has caluclated it's behavior and already executing. the computer is not solving the human part which you claim it does. watch this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJD5R_yQ9aw where a car is stopping in busy road trying to merge into the next lane. are you serious? > Alas, essentially 100% of accidents happen with a human behind the wheel. Humans vastly overestimate their ability to avoid accidents when in control
reply > The computer sees cars that are going to run red lights, at great distances, with complete certainty, and without overlooking any of them. The example you have chosen is one in which the self-driving system is indisputably superior.
reply when you're merging into a right lane from a left lane for example on a two lane road the av cannot tell if the person is gonna let you in. humans are supreior because we can communicate with eachother and you can predict what the other car will do because you can see a persons eyeballs, body lang, etc and communicate with them without words which we all do as we drive. hand waves, pointing, head nods, etc. a computer has no idea. and unitl they're all networked or something it's gonna be hard. humans communicate seamlessly and if you don't realize it, it's probably because you're a robot. but normally we look each other in the eyes, hand wave, point, etc. not always (these are the asshole drivers) but you get the point. humans are superior and always will be until computer cars are networked so they can commuicate behavior to eachother the same way humans do. so vis-à-vis the transitions are so off an irregular that you're gonna get hit or rear ended |