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by Joeri 1307 days ago
Back of the envelope calculations don’t seem to bear out what you are saying.

NS1 carried around 600 twh of energy per year. Current estimated wind energy production in europe is around 380 twh with 236 gw of wind capacity, so it would need to multiply this by a little over 150% to replace NS1. The EU is installing wind around 18 gw per year, or 8%. At this rate it takes around 20 years to replace NS1. However, the EU intends to increase wind installation to 30 gw per year. At that rate it takes 12 years to replace NS1.

That seems a reasonable medium term target.

(This calculation isn’t taking into account that much of that gas is used to create electricity, which loses half the energy in conversion.)

2 comments

And heat pumps produce 3-4W for every Watt of input. So replacing gas heating with heat pumps only requires 1/3 the total energy.
Your calculations also don’t take into account the amount of battery storage needed to make that wind energy a reliable source. Also, if you think German/European citizens and industry can/should wait years to return to reasonable energy prices, I don’t know what to tell you. They’re certainly not going to get there with US LNG arriving by ship (even though that scenario was the main goal of all this to begin with). https://peoplesworld.org/article/pipeline-ploy-how-u-s-natur...