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by ben_w
1309 days ago
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Between 2016 and 2021, I've been of the opinion that I cannot make any reasonable forecast of even vague large-scale social/technological/economic development past 2030, because the trends in technology go all funky around then. Thanks to recent developments in AI (textual and visual), I no longer feel confident predicting any of those things past about the beginning of 2028. It's not a singularity, it's an event horizon: https://kitsunesoftware.wordpress.com/2022/09/20/not-a-singu... |
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