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by pvg
1310 days ago
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The disagreement is about the difficulty of "proving" It's not, it's just a turn of phrase you've latched on to. There's no discussion of a standard of proof, etc. The comparison between the Szilard Einstein letter and 'AGI safety' is specious and it's one you brought up! You have to outright misrepresent what the letter was about just to make it. It was not a letter about a 'hypothetical danger they had no way of proving'. There just isn't any reasonable reading of the letter, the context, the history in which that's an accurate statement. |
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By any reasonable standard, at that point the possibility of nuclear fission was well established. But the argument is that there is no central committee that defines the reasonable standard and checks theories against it. It's all just opinion, and that specific opinion can be arbitrarily goalshifted.
I'm not saying the letter was about a hypothetical danger they had no way of proving, I don't think that. But that's specific to my interpretation of those terms, and I could easily see the exact same argument levered against the letter if that debate had been done in public.