[snowpid]

For me, the OP's interpretation is very questionable or at least hasty. The first reason that comes to mind is that there is less recruitment at the end of the year. Because in the above statistics (due to lack of data?) only the data within the year is possible, such rhythms are not recorded.

I talk to HR people from different companies (in Berlin) from time to time and they still complain about the lack of skilled workers. Lastly, there is an armada of economic institutes in Germany that do not foresee a "job market crash" either. Jobs are a lagging indicator and the German economy is still growing. Only next year will there be a slight recession.

P.S.: For a good statistical analysis, the data source should be mentioned (which website), different sources (e.g. different portals, different source). A data lake otherwise does not make much for an alarmist analysis.

[vernon99]

Have you checked the chart linked by OP? It has data for the same period of the last year and there’s no such drop so it disproves the seasonality thesis.

There could be something else of course. But also possible that some companies are being hit by energy crisis.

[omgwtfbyobbq]

It may disprove it. Another possibility is COVID affecting the numbers from last year.

I'd like to see monthly numbers for at least a couple political cycles, or better yet for several stock market cycles.

[netsharc]

The data seems to be really in a 365-day window, and on the 1st graph of the dashboard, the beginning and the end seem to be on the same level...

[sdfgdfghj]

> Only next year will there be a slight recession.

How do you know that?

[snowpid]

We talk about prognosis from different entities.

https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/konjunktur/eu-kommissio...

EU commission thinks, it will be a loss of 0.6 %.