| > The first operation ("writing a number on a computer") can occur regardless of how much money the bank has. But if operation 2 is not possible, then the number that was created in operation 1 is de facto not money. Remember, we're arguing whether the bank needs to have physical banknotes and central bank reserves in order to "create money" when originating a loan. We're not arguing about whether the bank can type in random numbers on a computer - on that point we are already in agreement. The disagreement concerns whether/when those numbers can be considered to be "money". I agree that money is a very ambiguous (and probably not very helpful) term, but insofar as we can consider the M1 money supply measure to be the quantity of money available in the economy at any given point in time (which is what the BoE paper is referring to when it says "money creation"), originating loans definitely creates money[0]. When you get a loan, the money lands in your demand deposit account, it's definitely "money" according to the definition of money being used in the BoE paper. >> All "money" is simply an accounting entry.
> Excluding physical banknotes, yes that is true Minor point but I would include notes and coins as "entries" in the same accounting system, in the same way as receipts, invoices or cheques. Not really critical to the conversation though ... > but you are implying the reverse of that statement to be true and it's not true at all: all accounting entries are not "money". If I open an excel sheet right now and type in "99999999", that is an accounting entry, but it is not money. Well, they sort of are. I mean, any liability denominated in the state's unit of account is, in some way, money. This is the crux of Minsky's "Heirarchy of Money"[0] For Minsky, there is nothing special or elusive about money. In fact, he says, "everyone can create money; the problem is to get it accepted" (1986, p. 228)[1] > Likewise, if a troubled bank has completely ran out of capital and is not supported by structures like the FDIC, and it proceeds to type in "9999999" as an accounting entry for the account balance of the chairman's wife, that is not "money". The chairman's wife will not be able to exchange it to goods and services - hence, it is not "money". Right, but banks are supported by those structures. That's what makes them banks. As we saw in 2008, the government went to extroardinary lengths to insure that even the most recklessly issued loans didn't result in banks becoming insolvent. Bill Black is definitely worth a listen to on this topic[2]. >> Follow-up question: ... Nope, that is not an example of a bank issuing an infinite amount of money while having literally zero money in reserves. That is an example of a bank which has >16M in reserves, then issuing loans for 16M. Nothing weird about that Well, we don't really know what the reserve position of that bank was, and $16m was probably a relatively small amount relative to the overall capital position, but this is definitely an example of someone going outside of what would be considered normally regulated procedure (regulation being the only thing that separates "good" loans from "bad" loans) for personal gain which is why I thought it was relevant to your point. >> But let's imagine that a bank did attempt to operate without any settlement balances ... No, the central bank would NOT provide a loan in this outrageous, obviously fraudulent instance. Again, you're claiming this to be possible, but it has never happened. When a bank receives its license, it can immediately start both taking deposits and issuing loans. Banks lend money to each other all the time, and most loans from the central bank are against collateral such as government securities and other very liquid forms of capital[3] however the central bank will, under some circumstances, lend money to banks against the assets they have themselves created through loan origination[4]. So while my little thought experiment about "starting from $0" is not quite accurate, it's not that far off! >> But fundamentally, we could have a banking system that operates exactly as I described ...
> So the example you provided was not supposed to reflect reality? It was just a "we could in theory have a banking system like this"? Yes we could in theory, but in practice we don't. In practice normal banks need reserves in order to issue loans. My example was intended to show you how banks hold reserves in order to make their loan operations more profitable. The point was that even if you started off with all banks at $0 in reserves and funded the entire operation using only central bank loans, you would end up with a system similar to what we have now where the primary reason banks need reserves is to increase profitability. It may be the case that a bank that had no reserves at all would go bust because it wouldn't be able to compete with other banks, but it's certainly not the case that they all need to attract reserve deposits equal to the amount of loans they want to originate. They only need sufficient reserves to satisfy net flows of funds and, because they're banks, they have access to the types of credit facilities they need in order to satisfy short term liquidity shortfalls. In fact, there was a spectacular neobanking collapse in Australia recently: "Xinja failed in part because it started taking deposits before it made loans. That meant it had to pay interest to customers before it was generating income."[5] Banks don't need a certain level of reserves or even highly liquid government securities to satisfy capital adequacy requirements. If you look at the documentation around commencement of a bank and capital adequacy standards[6][7] you'll find a story that is much more complicated than simply "reserve funds". They look at all sorts of financial instruments able to "absorb losses" or "commitment of funds". These mean that you can have investors who have pledged to step in to satisfy liquidity requirements or provide collateral/security for loans from other banks and/or the central bank. There is a difference between the "capital adequacy" requirements placed on banks and the imagined "reserve requirement". Bill Mitchell sets it out clearly: "To understand why reserve requirements do no constrain lending you have to understand how a bank operates. Banks seek to attract credit-worthy customers to which they can loan funds to and thereby make profit. What constitutes credit-worthiness varies over the business cycle and so lending standards become more lax at boom times as banks chase market share (this is one of Minsky’s drivers). These loans are made independent of the banks’ reserve positions. Depending on the way the central bank accounts for commercial bank reserves, the latter will then seek funds to ensure they have the required reserves in the relevant accounting period. They can borrow from each other in the interbank market but if the system overall is short of reserves these horizontal transactions will not add the required reserves. In these cases, the bank will sell bonds back to the central bank or borrow outright through the device called the “discount window”. There is typically a penalty for using this source of funds. At the individual bank level, certainly the “price of reserves” may play some role in the credit department’s decision to loan funds. But the reserve position per se will not matter. So as long as the margin between the return on the loan and the rate they would have to borrow from the central bank through the discount window is sufficient, the bank will lend. So the idea that reserve balances are required initially to “finance” bank balance sheet expansion via rising excess reserves is inapplicable. A bank’s ability to expand its balance sheet is not constrained by the quantity of reserves it holds or any fractional reserve requirements. The bank expands its balance sheet by lending. Loans create deposits which are then backed by reserves after the fact. The process of extending loans (credit) which creates new bank liabilities is unrelated to the reserve position of the bank."[8] In other words, banks issue as much credit as they can to as many credit worthy customers as they can find, and separately look for ways to satisfy any regulatory requirements. It is the case that regulatory requirements will inform lending criteria but it's nowhere near as simple as "x% of reserves". [0] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL [1] https://www.levyinstitute.org/publications/the-hierarchy-of-... [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQBIfSWDx9s [3] https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2017/dec/2.html [4] https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2020/sep/pdf/ma... [5] https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/xinja-s-col... [6] https://www.apra.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-08/Guidelin... [7] https://www.apra.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-08/APS%2011... [9] http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=9075 |
It sounds like we are mostly in agreement, but we disagree on:
1. When something should or shouldn't be called "money"
2. Will the bank - in practice - lose its money-printing ability if it behaves extremely bad
Regarding point 1, I guess we're going to just agree to disagree.
Regarding point 2, it's up to you to provide a single counter-example and prove me wrong. Theoretical arguments won't cut it here.
I'll answer some individual points below:
> I agree that money is a very ambiguous (and probably not very helpful) term, but insofar as we can consider the M1 money supply measure to be the quantity of money available in the economy at any given point in time (which is what the BoE paper is referring to when it says "money creation"), originating loans definitely creates money[0]. When you get a loan, the money lands in your demand deposit account, it's definitely "money" according to the definition of money being used in the BoE paper.
The BoE paper wasn't describing the case where a troubled bank with 0 capital makes up infinite amount of demand deposits. If such a case were to happen in practice, automated systems might initially report the amount of circulating money as infinite, but very soon someone would "correct the error".
> When a bank receives its license, it can immediately start both taking deposits and issuing loans.
This might be as it is written in Australian law, but in practice no bank is going to receive a license if it has 0 capital when starting up. Sure, it doesn't need deposits to start lending, but it still needs reserves.
> Banks lend money to each other all the time, and most loans from the central bank are against collateral such as government securities and other very liquid forms of capital[3] however the central bank will, under some circumstances, lend money to banks against the assets they have themselves created through loan origination[4]. So while my little thought experiment about "starting from $0" is not quite accurate, it's not that far off!
Well, I'd say it's far off. We're comparing "normal bank issuing loans more or less prudently" to "bank with 0 capital issuing infinite money to the chairman's wife". I would argue that your typical central bank is willing to bail out most cases in the former category, while refusing to bail out any case in the latter category.
> It may be the case that a bank that had no reserves at all would go bust because it wouldn't be able to compete with other banks, but it's certainly not the case that they all need to attract reserve deposits equal to the amount of loans they want to originate.
I'm obviously not claiming that banks need reserve deposits equal to the amount of loans they originate. I'm saying that banks need some deposits to issue loans, and I'm saying that any one individual loan is never going to be larger than the amount of reserves held by the bank. The sum of all loans might be larger than the amount of reserves held, but no single individual loan is going to be.
> They only need sufficient reserves to satisfy net flows of funds and, because they're banks, they have access to the types of credit facilities they need in order to satisfy short term liquidity shortfalls.
If a bank issues a huge loan that the customer intends to withdraw from the bank, that can cause a short term liquidity shortfall. So if you're saying the bank needs sufficient reserves to cover for potential short term liquidity shortfalls, then I suppose we are in agreement over the main question in this debate.
> loans are made independent of the banks’ reserve positions [...] Loans create deposits which are then backed by reserves after the fact. The process of extending loans (credit) which creates new bank liabilities is unrelated to the reserve position of the bank."
I'd be to happy to accept a single counter-example where a bank with 0 reserves issues >999999999 dollars to a family friend who then exchanges it to goods and services. Just a single example of this, and I will say I was wrong. Without a single documented case of this happening, you are essentially claiming "this could happen in theory". That's different from "this is how the world actually is today". Many things could theoretically happen in the world, but they don't, and that's not how to world is. In practice banks are constrained in their loan-making by their reserves, even if you have 9 research papers that claim otherwise "in theory".