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by misiti3780 1320 days ago
All of the people (or most of the people) that matter would not have left Twitter for Elon's new company. Tons of people have tried this.

Remember Dalton Caldwell's App.net. That didn't even get off the ground and it had a ton of YC press.

Network affects are real.

3 comments

I think for an insane comp and equity in a new company led by Elon, lots of people would consider leaving. Network affects are real and is probably a top 10 world individual as far as the power of his network is concerned. Having a ton of YC press is way different than being Elon.

Even still he could pay people to use his application. Pay businesses $20 a month for a verified business account. Pay individual users $10-100 a month based on activity and engagement. Does it scale? Absolutely not but I still think it'd end up cheaper than $44 billion.

Go check out Mixer and Facebook's game streaming if you want to see how well buying influencers onto your platform works.

It doesn't. No one's ever made it work. You need users and creators and users are considerably more stubborn than creators.

Guess it's like Zuck trying to force everyone onto the Metaverse.
You're right. But how much marketing can $44B and time buy you to replicate these network effects?

There are plenty of people trying to replicate the success of the existing social networks, but they're all doing it for $10's - $100's millions.

How much traction would you get if you paid the top 5,000 Twitter accounts $5 million to post exclusively on your new social network?

Top comment on app.net shutdown notice on HN ( Jan2017):

> "So to recap, Twitter exploded onto the scene in 2007, the "fail whale" appeared a lot, developers made all sorts of wonderful programs hooked into Twitter, the fail whale disappeared, Twitter started to destroy the app ecosystem, App.net launched to great fanfare in response to Twitter's knuckleheaded anti-developer stance, Britney Spears and Justin Bieber arrived and knocked all the nerds out of the top spots on Twitterholic, Donald Trump came and bludgeoned everyone with his bombastic prose, and now App.net is shutting down. And after all this, Twitter still does not have a viable business model."

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13387723

are you agreeing or disagreeing with me?