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by resiros 1316 days ago
Social unrest in the global south with deep repercussions on the relation between developed and developing countries.

In the next 25 years, it is likely that many jobs currently held by human beings will be replaced by AI. This shift will predominantly affect workers in fields such as production and lower-level white-collar jobs. Although this change will also create new opportunities for employment, less developed countries are unlikely to benefit from these as much as more advanced economies.

The majority of positions that will be taken over by AI are typically found in sectors such as manufacturing, IT, and customer service - all of which are prevalent in underdeveloped nations.

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Other possible second order effects:

- The amount of content (video, games, audio, etc.) will increase by one or two orders of magnitude. It will be 10x easier to go from an idea to content. Thus, we'll see thousands of new niches emerge as a result

- The majority of internet content is currently in English and localized. Due to the perfection of translation, English may lose some of its luster since you can now provide services in any local language.

- Online personas that differ from real personas. Chinese YouTubers can easily make their way to France by using deepfakes and perfect translations.

- There will be a continuing trend of fewer physical friends and more AI/online friends, with the resulting psychological effects. This will probably lead to a reaction among a subset of the population to completely disconnect from technology.

- Content creation will become much easier. Writing a book, for example, will take one month instead of six. This will make distribution more important than content. There will be less emphasis on quality of content and more on how to reach the audience.

- As a result of the increase in new content, content is likely to become shorter. Since we have a wide range of options, it is unlikely that we will spend much time on just one. Therefore, perhaps games will take two hours to complete instead of twenty, books will be 50 pages long..

- Worldwide, we will see more and more Hikikomori. People that shut off from the harsh world into their AI created world.

- Lots of jobs will become assistant to the AI jobs. In a pizza factory I once worked, I noticed that most people were assistants to the machines: adding inputs, ensuring it did not make any mistakes, fixing the machine… I expect that lots of white collar jobs will become just the same. Reading hundreds of customer support messages per hour and fixing those where the AI made a mistake.