[gmarx]

Fascinating analysis and I cannot immediately see the flaws. I don't see any specific good counter-arguments in this thread.

One thing I would contradict is his idea that it is suspicious that excess deaths taper just as vaccinations do. Wouldn't we expect that if the vaccines worked well? Presumably vaccines taper as the vulnerable population is saturated with vaccine. Some time after that you would expect deaths to slow

[jjeaff]

I'd start with the childlike superlatives like pointing out "the best epidemiologist in the world". As if there is some world Olympics of epidemiologists to decide such a thing. Being full of memes isn't usually a good sign either.

But that they would claim this data suggests that the vaccine doesn't reduce covid deaths is completely ridiculous. At this point, there is countless data indicating reduced mortality due to the vaccine.

[kbrkbr]

What is the point of hand wavy overlaying two time series, as if the interpretation was obvious (cumulative excess deaths vs. Covid deaths). Have you realized how the scales do match up between the plots? Same for excess deaths against vaccination. I still wonder what I should „see“ there, and why there are no statistical calculations to back up the „obvious“…

[kbrkbr]

I actually meant „Have you realized how the scales do NOT match up between the plots?“, but somehow I can’t edit the comment.

[lostlogin]

> Fascinating analysis and I cannot immediately see the flaws.

The whole article could have been a Facebook post.