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by muglug 1314 days ago
Content is king. Once the big studios started pulling their stuff from Netflix in favour of their own streaming platforms, the writing was on the wall.

Netflix doesn’t have the breadth of monetisable IP that the mouse has. The latest season of The Crown is basically scraping the barrel of royal family drama. Stranger Things has a season or two left. If I had Netflix stock I’d sell.

3 comments

> the writing was on the wall

I really hope not. It’s possible the 2010s will be seen as a golden of the TV shows where there was so much competition for eyeballs that many shows were made which otherwise might not have been. Niche demographics seemed catered to which otherwise might not have.

Moving back to Disney owning everything and other channels not being able to compete… that’d be sad. Some people aren’t really excited about super hero shows or Star Wars anymore.

I'm surprised by this because Netflix has Heartstopper & Neil Gaiman's Sandman. They've also canceled a bunch of stuff that could come back really strong, Sense8 comes to mind.
Sure, yes, but Heartstopper was a risk and Sandman, one of the more bankable IPs, was kept in limbo for a new season until the last few weeks for fear that not many people would want to watch it (probably an indicator in and of itself as to why all their original shows were cancelled)
Realistically the second season of Sandman and final season of Stranger Things probably won't materialize until 2024 given how long they take to produce.
I recall reading that Netflix intentionally capped the production of successful shows to avoid overpaying for actors. Actor contracts apparently have predetermined rates for 3-4 seasons, and then must be renegotiated. For a successful show the actors can have immense leverage (see Seinfeld).

Netflix thought they we being smart by doing this, but they may have simply upped their content risk and simultaneously convinced top talent to work with other streamers.

If true it reminds me of business owners trying to limit how much their salespeople can make
I get the distinct impression that Netflix leadership vastly over-estimated the value of their in-house technical IP to delivering streaming content.