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by Bubble_Pop_22 1332 days ago
This is not the 1930s anymore. Just look at murder rates even in Russia.

People are much more satisfied/apathetic, they won't collectively risk their quality of life for a war.

The biggest predictor of mass violence (war) is your run of the mill daily violence (murders, revolts, terrorism etc), those are at historic minimums.

The second biggest predictor is trust in institutions, which also is at an all time low. This is especially true in Russia, but also in the West. The shelf life of a POTUS is basically 2-6 months, that's how long the approval rating stays above 50%.

By the time the 1st anniversary of inauguration comes around every POTUS from now on will be around 35-38%. That has never been the case ever.