Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by diognesofsinope 1336 days ago
I mean, the failure of a lot of experiments to replicate is extraordinarily well documented...

Not to mention the corollaries from the Wikipedia article (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_Most_Published_Research_Fi...):

"In addition to the main result, Ioannidis lists six corollaries for factors that can influence the reliability of published research.

Research findings in a scientific field are less likely to be true,

1. the smaller the studies conducted.

2. the smaller the effect sizes.

3. the greater the number and the lesser the selection of tested relationships.

4. the greater the flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes.

5. the greater the financial and other interests and prejudices.

6. the hotter the scientific field (with more scientific teams involved)."

These are all reasonable criticisms from my own area of expertise: applied econometrics.

1 comments

Being skeptical of cutting edge research is a lot different than distrusting science. There are plenty of people out there denying special relativity, evolution by natural selection, or believing all of western medicine is invalid, based on extrapolation from stuff like this.

I won't speak for all textbooks, but generally stuff you find in there should not be the same as what you find in journals, and is much more settled. Big caveat that that isn't necessarily true for younger sciences without long-established theory, say exercise physiology or social psychology, but something like a chemistry textbook is pretty damn trustworthy.

And those are what people who aren't actually scientists should mostly be educating themselves with, not newspaper science reporting sections.

Doubting a scientific paper results is different from distrusting science.

Academia is a complex place and it's full of fake results to get publications. (I'm coauthor of several scientific papers and I know for a fact countless highly rated papers in my former field are not reproducible because they come from adjusted numbers).