[t-3]

Russia, up to this point, has lacked in manpower, but has plenty of equipment (questionable quality, sure, but they do have it). Ukraine has had the opposite problem, but they've been receiving heavy training and equipment from NATO. Now that Ukraine has built up stockpiles and trained enough people they are mobilizing and retaking territory. However, with the Russian conscription underway, there's no saying if that momentum will continue.

Ukraine will still have an advantage in numbers, but if the war drags on too long they risk losing some political/material support, as the economic war has hit Europe especially hard (US support can/will probably continue indefinitely, though). There have already been many times in the past months when European leaders called for negotiations and ceasefire according to domestic political shifts, so I think this is a big "hidden" danger for UA.

[trasz]

I’m not sure about the “plenty of equipment”. Case in point - over the past six months there have been _ten_ Russian plane crashes caused by malfunctions. Even though they almost don’t use their aviation because of lack of air superiority.