[Overtonwindow]

I am rather surprised in the confidence of Vladimir Putin‘s nuclear arsenal, and even his willingness to use it. He may say launch the missile, but I think there’s less than a 10% chance it will actually happen. Not only that, we have to consider the technological and maintenance capabilities of the systems. If Russia launches a missile, it’s a 50-50 that it won’t just turn around and come right back down on them.

The chances of a nuclear strike by Russia ate very, very low and most of this talk is sensationalism.

[lamontcg]

> If Russia launches a missile, it’s a 50-50 that it won’t just turn around and come right back down on them.

Up until very recently the Russians were carrying American astronauts up to the ISS after the shuttle program was abandoned. Maybe not all their rockets are maintained properly, but the ones that were are highly likely to work.

Outright denial that the threat exists at all is just infantile levels of analysis that I expect from reddit.

[helij]

What's with all this underestimating.

If Russians can do something that's rockets. Their space rockets have 98% success rate. Land ones are probably at 99%.

"The Soyuz rocket was first launched in November 1963 and has since flown more than 1500 times. It is one of the most reliable launch vehicles, with a 98% success rate."[0]

[0]: https://sci.esa.int/web/mars-express/-/31036-launch-vehicle