Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by jokabrink 1351 days ago
Odd text. Take a look at the first figure with the heading "Landfalling US Hurricanes have declined".

1) If the citation indicates that the figure comes from the year 2018, how can there be data until 2021? If you look at the original figure (Fig. 2 in [1]) you see the same layout with data until 2017, indicating that Shellenberger added data to it.

2) The figure title "Landfalling US Hurricanes have declined" is not in part of the orignal figure which is important because:

3) Shellenberger conveniently leaves out a very important fact in the original figure caption: "The p values for the linear trends are 0.33 for landfalling hurricanes and 0.61 for landfalling major hurricanes, indicating that neither of these trends are significant." (emphasis mine)

In other words: The linear trend is due to statisical variations and insignificant.

The lower half of the text tries to frame the picture of "Alarmists vs Scientists" by using N=1 empirical evidence, coincidentally thats also where he starts to use adjectives and more 'emotion-painting' words like villified, vicious, etc.