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by bobthepanda 1355 days ago
IIRC part of the issue is that California heavily taxes capital gains and in general has very progressive tax, so they can be wildly wrong about their forecast based on what is happening in the markets.
2 comments

And the reason they do this is because of prop 13. In particular, California's per capita budget isn't any higher than other blue states.

I don't think its a good source of revenue for many reasons. But until it becomes politically tenable to remove prop 13, I'm not sure if there's a better solution.

Yes this is the issue. They are sending out checks based on 2021 tax revenue projections.

It will be quite surprising if 2022 tax revenues are anywhere near 2021.