[jillesvangurp]

I think humans being marginalized by their own inventions, might be a longer term consequence. Short term, we're still dealing with a growing demand for things where people with skills are more effective than any AI. And ironically, there's a lot of demand right now for people that can do some productive but low level stuff with AI.

Ten years ago, you needed a team with phd propeller heads to do anything with AI. These days, what you need is a lot of data engineers capable of moving data around via scripts efficiently and people that can use the off the shelf stuff coming out of a handful of AI companies. It's like database technology. You don't have to have a deep understanding of them in order to use them. I can get productive with this stuff pretty quickly. And I need a working knowledge of what's out there in order to lead others to do this stuff.

The consequences of a general AI, or even something close enough to that, coming online would be that, pretty soon after, we'd put that to use to do things currently done by really smart humans. Including programming things. The analogy is maybe that as an executive of a large tech company, you don't necessarily have to be a hard core techie yourself. You can delegate that stuff to "human resources". Adding AI resources to the mix is going to naturally happen. But it will be a while before that's cheap and good enough to replace everybody. For the foreseeable future, we'll have a growing number of AI resources but it will be relatively expensive to use them and we'll use them sparingly until that changes.