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by jiggywiggy
1352 days ago
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In this case the author was a bit silly. He also used common sense to determine he had no way of determining the probability of a rigged event. And therefore using Bayesian probability looked fancy but didn't help learn anything new. I remember reading first paragraph and thinking wow, bayesian has a way of helping determining the odds of that, but no. Either he wanted to educate or is so involved with statistics that it became his default way of framing problems. |
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Yeah, Professor Tao has been known to try that from time to time.