[md2020]

As a 20-something, I see a lot of people my age that way, way overestimate the negative impacts of climate change, to the point where they admonish and make fun of people who want to have kids. I can’t help but think their media diet is somewhat to blame. Climate change is not going to be good, but there is good news on the technology front that you’d almost never hear if you got all your news from the big news outlets. For example, the IEA predictions for new solar additions have been terribly out of touch with reality for nearly a decade now [1], and before I saw this all I had seen was doom and gloom about how we could never scale up renewables fast enough. Seeing even the IEA be so wrong really makes me wonder what other good news I’m missing out on seeing.

[1] https://www.visualcapitalist.com/experts-bad-forecasting-sol...

[ljw1001]

I think it’s increasingly likely that technology change will not be fast enough to offset the worst effects of climate change due to the non-linearities in the process, including things like vicious cycles (melting permafrost causing massive methane leaks) and tipping points.

I also don’t think most people anticipate the political instability that will result from hundreds of millions of people needing to move.