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by p1esk 1356 days ago
2 years ago, did you also think a prediction of "a widespread high quality AI image generation in 2 years" is an example of singulatarian/DL delusion?
2 comments

As I said, we will see in 2 years. I am confident that your prediction (which was not "widespread music generation" but quite specific - in a platform in which the majority of streaming is generated by a handful of artists) will be spectacularly wrong.
I'm sure the names of the "handful of artists" will still be attached to the music, it's just the music will be AI generated. Most of those artists don't compose their hits anyway.
Yes, I expected goal-post moving in line of "even if a single beat is AI-generated, the entire song counts for AI-generated".

Or, the more likely one, in this case, "the first draft of the beat was AI-generated, then human-edited and the vocals were by the singer but they were processed, so it's AI-generated". Typical singularitarian bullshit.

No goal-post moving here, I predict that the entire song, every sound in it, including vocals, will be AI generated. Optionally with the name of your favorite human artist attached to it. Whether people will know (or care) that it's fully AI generated I don't know, it depends on how Spotify decides to promote such songs.
I initially thought your prediction was "AI-generated, with mostly human vocals and some editing" - which has no way of occurring in 2 years even for new songs, let alone if you include the legacy catalog.

This insane interpretation will not only not occur in 2 years, it will not occur this decade. Singularitarian delusion runs higher than even I imagined.

Again, I'm pretty sure 2 years ago many people would had said similar things about image generation. And yet here we are today using Stable Diffusion.

It's interesting you react so strongly to my prediction. Are you a musician? How much do you know about music generation research?

And 10 years ago, did you predict that self driving cars were 2 years away?
music generation is a lot more similar to image generation than to self-driving cars
I'm questioning your ability to predict future improvements in performance on one task based on experience with a different task.