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by collegeburner 1361 days ago
uhhhhhhh what? it says pretty clearly this is interest rate derivatives (makes sense). i think what you're trying to talk about is repo leverage: buy a bond, repo it out, use cash to buy another bond and repo it ad infinitum until counterparty risk measures start blinking.

remember a repo is me selling you my bond at a haircut and buying it back later for a little more, so basically a secured loan. the repo margin (the amount more than the loan value i have to give you as a premium) depends on creditworthiness and bond prices blah blah blah but the gist is there's some margin where, if the value of the collateral i gave you (the bonds) falls too much (like now) you margin call me and say "give me more stuff because your collateral lost too much value". this is what happened to the pension funds: they buy bonds (safe asset), sell via repo (cheap loan to invest in interest rate swaps for hedging) and now they get margin called because the "safe" gilt just shit the bed. some are using gilts as collateral for swaps, so their collateral fell so much that their hedges are getting called.

now think about if you've leveraged the repo market to double or triple up on bonds, whatever your counterparties will put up with... you don't have to cover the fall in the gilt, you have to cover 2-3x (or more) the fall. so it's not really "borrowing to buy more" because that wouldn't make sense it's diluting your collateral in a way that tbh counterparties should account for better. same thing happens in real estate if you do it right.

the big concern here is a death spiral: funds have to sell gilts, value of gilt drops more, more funds have to sell gilts. BOE doesn't want this so it's now back to QE because the exchequer is a bozo.