I know some extremely hard working independent filmmakers who struggle so hard to get noticed. After this tech goes mainstream in 5 years and gets really good, I don’t know what they’re going to do
Have you talked to the average 15 year old kid? Hell, have you talked to the average 50 year old? It will be the same as ever, a sea of absolute shit surrounding some true gems, be they from novel creativity or just excellent execution of well worn ground. The role of the trusted curator will rise and brands will gain more power.
I am sure I will watch MY 15 year old's attempts, and maybe a few from my extended circle but most of my consumed content will still come from what makes the cut to Netflix or HBO etc. Technology like this will empower the truly creatives once it has matured. I would expect closer to 20 years than 5 however.
> It will be the same as ever, a sea of absolute shit surrounding some true gems
Ah, I can see what's wrong there, just turn down shit randomness and increase the true gem sampling steps to proportionally increase the input weight of true gems and fix your output quality.
Basically - if it empowers creative people, their output will be fed back in and parameterised.
From my personal perspective; knowing how something is made affects my interest in it. I guess that's why provenance ascribes value. I value human creativity and so I'll likely always seek out something created by craft than by shortcuts.
AI is eating the world, and the vast majority of people are not paying attention.
I don't know what artists, truck drivers, Uber/Lyft/taxi drivers, delivery drivers, programmers, doctors, judges, fast food workers, etc. are going to do.
Perhaps humanity would happily share the benefits of machine work and we can all spend idyllics lifes eating, laughing and loving while exploring the galaxy?
If they’re not trading with everyone else they’re not rich. Being rich /is/ the ability to trade a lot.
The idea that rich people will all leave and start a different rich-people-only economy that somehow takes all the economic activity with it isn’t how it really works, it’s the plot of Atlas Shrugged.
Why do you need consumers when you have machines making most of what you want? Then you just need to be able to trade things with other people who have different machines and resources from yourself to get the bits you can't have made by your machines.
Where do the inputs for the machines come from? ex: having a machine that generates CPUs out of sand and works for free would mean cheaper CPUs, but it would also mean a lot more employment in the sand industry, and there might not be a machine for creating sand.
Surely if we get to the point where programmers are no longer needed, humans have essentially been replaced by AI? Since the AI programmers could just program better and better AI?
Why will conventional investments have value? Why will it be safe? I could be retired and well off with say even 5 or 10 million and then large numbers of people lose their jobs, yet we can still make widgets and grow and distribute food with robot everything, society will fall apart. There will be fewer people with money to support themselves or buy things. I don't see the capitalist society in the US giving people basic income, but we won't need so many workers, and so anarchy.