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by Al-Khwarizmi
1357 days ago
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Related question: in what metrics is such a market meltdown visible? The FTSE 100 is down like 4% or so in the last two days, and the pound lost 2% to the euro, those don't look like scary figures to me compared to past volatility. I guess I'm looking at the wrong metrics, so what are the relevant ones? |
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In effect what is on offer in these auctions is a government promise to pay a certain amount of money at a set time in the future. Bidders say how much money they will pay now for that promise. For example maybe the government wants to pay £105 in 2050, and the auction just settled at £86 and I was a bidder, I pay £86 now, and I get a promise to pay £105 in 2050. The governments gets £86 now which it can spend, but needs to find £105 to pay me in 2050 (Hint: It will just issue more gilts).
Gilts are a bit more complicated because they have index linking and there's a whole coupon mechanism so you get a little bit of the money back periodically, but this gets the basic idea across.
The exchange rate stuff has a more immediate impact because it causes import prices to jump, but the gilt problem is actually what means you shouldn't ever do this. It's like using credit card debt to finance a fun ski holiday versus to buy a car so you can drive to work. One of these things is reasonable, albeit not ideal, the other is just throwing away money. Unfortunately it isn't Liz's money, it's the nation's money, increasingly it's the money of those least able to afford it.