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by jqgatsby
1374 days ago
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"It's the Mercator projection but for the opinions of people who don't touch grass." Well said! Also, the sample bias phenomenon being raised in the article comes up so often, and is so easy to be deeply fooled by. It's the same type of issue that makes people think that recidivism rates are much higher than they are: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2015/10/why-do-so-many-p... |
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The original study said that 50-55% made it back into prison. The new study says it's more like 33% that make it back into prison. Yes, 1 of 3 is better than 1 of 2 but it's still 1 of 3. I'd call that high personally. In what other circumstance would I take a risk of something bad happening if the bad outcome happpened 1 out of 3 times?