[onlyrealcuzzo]

> I'd like to see an analysis of the situation, assuming that the value goes neither up or down, but simply holds a constant value in an inflation indexed manner. Would it still be a bad idea in that situation?

Why? BTC has zero history of doing this.

[osigurdson]

Without this type of analysis, the entire discussion is based on the current price and nothing else. Therefore if the price was up significantly we would have to conclude he was a genius. For now, we can conclude that he is not. However, if we are being intellectually honest, our opinion needs to be a function of the current price.