[staticassertion]

At best 23% of Americans, ie: all Twitter users, voted.

[Maursault]

But only 60% voted in the last election, more than ever before. If 100% voted, we could assume all 23% would vote. Usually only about 50% ever vote in any US election, so I was giving the benefit of the doubt that voting numbers would remain high. 60% of 23% is 14%.

[scythe]

Statistics do not work that way. You can't simply assume being on Twitter and voting are uncorrelated.

[Maursault]

I can draw Venn diagrams to make the same point.