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by idle76 1371 days ago
You fail to see my point. Cheap electricity is our only competitive advantage (well, in addition to a well educated population). We cannot compete on labor wages, which are much higher here than pretty much anywhere in the world.

If we give away that advantage for shortsighted profit instead of using it to build our own industry, we will only strengthen central europe's industries, while we go back to being a resource economy.

2 comments

It's really not that bleak, Finland certainly has other advantages than cheap electricity. But yes, a big change is coming and we'll see whether leaders have the chutzpah to capitalize on that opportunity; if not, yes going back to a provider of cheap raw materials for others to add value to is a real risk.

A recent writeup on this topic, in Finnish unfortunately, at https://jmkorhonen.fi/2022/08/25/uskallammeko-voittaa-teolli...

You don't need to have a competitive advantage to gain from trade. You don't even need a comparative advantage.

You think that trading electricity to the rest of Europe will let them take your manufacturing industry. So your plan is to pointlessly increase Europe's electricity prices by breaking the market mechanisms that allow trade?

That is not a good plan. It's not a good plan if you want to support local industry and it's not a good plan if you don't. It's just not a good plan.

At best, you could claim that there's nothing else you can do that would work, and so this bad plan is better than all the other worse options but frankly it's not a very convincing case.

I know trade _can_ be beneficial even without an advantage. But not if it means giving away our only advantage. I'm sorry, but if you don't tell me why it is a bad plan, I'm supporting it. Trade is not always better than building industry. Especially not if it means that we go back to being a resource economy. Trade is always more lucrative with refined goods than raw materials.

Why would any industry start here if it means higher labor costs if all else is equal? How do we compete then? We've already seen much industry being moved to for example Latvia, or Russia, or China, or Vietnam. And that was with the cheap electricity.

We're not the one "pointlessly" increasing Europe's electricity prices. They did that to themselves by combining the gas and electricity markets in the first place. And relying on Russia for their energy needs, instead of building more energy for themselves.