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by romesmoke
1385 days ago
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Was expecting to see Covid among the Big Things since WWII is deemed the "great-grandfather" of such stuff in our age. Honest question: am I overestimating the pandemic's impact on the future, and why? Isn't it another tail event, a Black Swan? |
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I say slightly overstating because you can't stop at WWII, you have to also go back to view what lead to WWII, and why was WWII so impactful. Would it have had the same global impact had Japan not bombed Pearl Harbour?
Could the Cold War have occurred without WWII? If the Cold War didn't materialize, would the US have developed the Apollo missions? Without the need for high quality small transistors for Apollo, would the modern computer age have developed as it has?
The gist of what I'm saying is that I don't believe you can take any of these things in isolation. The Butterfly Effect is real.
Having said all of that. I believe this is an excellent article in viewing the impact of events.