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by praestigiare 1394 days ago
That is not an issue with the analysis as a whole, and indeed he addresses several of those points. It is an issue only with the excess deaths statistic. The data we have so far does not show a correlation between lockdowns and GDP, and tends to show a correlation between lockdowns and a reduction in excess deaths.
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The data is the data, but there is a huge missing story that this analysis completely misses.

Why?

It is not appropriate to mix an all-cause mortality number (which is what this is) without actually tracking the underlying separation between groups to answer the why question. E.g. Vaccinated/Unvaccinated, WhichVaccine, Obesity, Age, WhichVariant, and the related ICD codes for someone's health.

Furthermore, it is a travesty to attempt to draw huge conclusions (which many are now doing) from all cause mortality at a population level without that important separation of data elements.

Because Covid in many cases does not relate to seropositivity, cases is not an accurate count, as some people with strong immune systems will never be considered a "case" [1]

We need strong analyses around health, weight, obesity, and other comorbidities, not data mingled bungled studies that look only at outcomes with no relationship. Tragically, this study points out that perhaps we should incarcerate entire populations, because if we do that, we can drive down death rates.

[1] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.26.21259239v...