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by bmismyname 1390 days ago
It depends on who you ask, but I've seen estimates that suggest at least 10m of sea level rise is already "priced in", so to speak.

In the climate crisis discussion communities there's a saying that things are happening "faster than expected", which also applies to the fact that most of the accepted climate models are much more conservative than they should be. The IPCC models (for example) largely ignore tipping points and methane emissions, and their contribution to the exponential rate of increase in climate change.

At this point we're not going to do what's needed to make things less bad (i.e., keeping the carbon in the ground) so my suggestion is to plan for the worst and hope for the best.

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Is there a map somewhere that simulates various coastline changes based on sea level rise?

Ex: the 10 meters mentioned above

Good question, there are several, but the one I've played with is this tool from the NOAA: https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/

I've used this tool to inform my decisions with regard to planning for my climate mitigation strategy.

A better question would be, is there a map that shows the extended inland reach of the more violent storms that we will get with a warmer atmosphere?

Planning on the basis of the ocean being a mill-pond won't go very well.

Both are important. New York City becoming an oyster bed is a catastrophic migration crisis waiting to happen.