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by acdha
1400 days ago
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Once you’re out of the mid-1970s, the accuracy has been good - especially for the serious IPCC reports which were based on many studies in different fields, all pointing in the same direction. Unfortunately, the late 70s is when the fossil fuel companies started funding a lot of fake science skepticism and, ultimately, capture of the Republican Party to delay or prevent regulation. For example, many people have heard that “scientists” predicted a global ice age — that narrative has been expensively circulated by the fossil fuel industry and their political allies but they’ll never mention that it was a) never anywhere near a mainstream consensus or even a majority position and b) was rejected by follow up research by the end of the decade. What you especially will not hear is that the predictions made by the papers which rejected that theory have in fact held up well despite the science being far less precise in the 1970s: https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/06/that-70s-myth-did-cl... By the 1990 and 1992 IPCC reports, predictions were quite well supported and the trajectory was unambiguous: https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/06/how-well-have-climat... https://arstechnica.com/science/2012/12/ipccs-climate-projec... |
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