[ggm]

The whole "fog of war" thing has a long time to play out. But, perhaps naively, I truly believe Putin thought he had a 3 day walk in the park, and did not expect a 165 day robust defence.

There's no sane military doctrine which uses your worst equipment first in a lighting strike, or 5 months later. This says to me that the truly horrendously awful state of their equipment and supply logistics is not some cunning plan. They can still win, but it's not the war he wanted. The longer it goes on, the more Russia digs itself into an economic hole, and attrition will tell on voters.