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by xanaxagoras 1423 days ago
Yes, this usage is basically "wahrscheinlich". Here it is a rhetorical device to soften the author's conclusion:

> The bottom line is that, with the announcement on July 28 of a two-quarter GDP decline, we can be highly confident that the U.S. economy entered a recession early in 2022.

This will usually be the case. When something is likely X it is probably X, not possibly X.