[topspin]

> There is no debating that that big strike was outside the model.

Yes it is. That means the model is wrong. Hopefully JWST doesn't devolve into a micrometeorite detector. That instrument could have been built and operated at far lower cost and one wonders if that shouldn't have been done beforehand.

[AprilArcus]

It could be that the model is wrong, or it could be that the model is correct and the big strike was an outlier. Only time will prove.