I believe the plan is to increase the rate in steps over time as to not shock the marketplace and also be able to see how market conditions change between steps.
This seems like having your cake and eating it too. Because of our unprecedented bubble caused by low interest rates, what happened was our markets got even more sensitive to rate rises.
You can already see the impact of this in the real estate market. Its not pretty and i believe they will play hot potatoes until the next administration can take the blame. Don't know how it is in EU but probably similar dynamics.
Nobody wants to be that guy who takes the fall for the next recession. It's going to last a long time and lot of people seem like they are poised to buy the dip again like they have before.
Remember that markets falling to 40% isn't an outright meltdown but we've had it fall far past 50%, 80% was the biggest fall and that is the more likely scenario.
You can already see the impact of this in the real estate market. Its not pretty and i believe they will play hot potatoes until the next administration can take the blame. Don't know how it is in EU but probably similar dynamics.
Nobody wants to be that guy who takes the fall for the next recession. It's going to last a long time and lot of people seem like they are poised to buy the dip again like they have before.
Remember that markets falling to 40% isn't an outright meltdown but we've had it fall far past 50%, 80% was the biggest fall and that is the more likely scenario.