Think in systems. Perhaps short term, but also manufacturing capacity and an expanding fast dc charging network builds the machine that builds the machine.
No, I think long-term these devices will still have pretty poor carbon footprints since they're still packing massive, disposable Lithium Ion batteries, and continue to have such poor aftermarket values. Coupled with the treadmill of new features they're offering, I have a hard time taking your statement at face value.
Okay ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ The market doesn’t care how we feel. People want cars. Sell them electric cars. Tesla can’t build them fast enough to meet demand. Those vehicle batteries (along with stationary storage batteries) will be recycled at end of life by Redwood Materials into newer, better batteries in 5-15 years. These cars will never burn petroleum, and will get cleaner as the grid gets cleaner. The price of refined petroleum will stay high because of no slack in refinery capacity, as capital won’t invest in an industry without a growth future. This further drives consumers to EVs. These are all facts.
Opinion: I can sell my 2021 Model Y for $15k more than I paid for it, and my 2018 Model S for $20k less than I paid for it with 100k miles on it. That’s fairly good value preservation imho.
"the market" won't start really replacing Tesla's vehicles until the value proposition is there. Unfortunately (as you highlighted), Teslas can't be made fast enough to fill the market, and they can't be sold cheap enough to out-saturate the truly awful ICE-vehicles. As long as it's legal to drive grandpa's $400 Buick, people will consistently pick cars that are cheap and destructive. That's just how our market works from a bottom-up perspective, and it's unlikely that Tesla will be pushing owners to keep their cars for 10-20 years like traditional gas guzzlers. So, you're spending $35k on a car that likely won't last you a decade, will eventually and inevitably become outdated or have electronic failure, and will not be serviceable by anyone other than the first-party manufacturer. I'd love to be an eco-warrior as much as anyone else on this site, but there's not even a faint chance I would pick that over a 5-year-old Fiesta I can get for a quarter of the price.
> Opinion: I can sell my 2021 Model Y for $15k more than I paid for it, and my 2018 Model S for $20k less than I paid for it with 100k miles on it. That’s fairly good value preservation imho.
That’s all cars atm. My 2021 Mazda is also selling for more than I paid
It has been this way historically all of the way back to mid 10s Tesla sales. Only a few years ago did Tesla drop their resale guarantee (when the market fundamentals provided for it versus them backstopping vehicle values).
Yeah an electric car future is better than an oil car future. Thinking broader though they still have a large initial carbon impact and any future that depends on cars isn’t really sustainable. I think it takes too much focus off reducing dependence on cars entirely.