[f38zf5vdt]

As someone working on some of this stuff:

(1) Open source models for image generation that are comparable to what DALLE2 or Imagen can spit out will be available by the end of next year. There will be nothing for OpenAI or Google to monetize.

(2) These models aren't magic. Often to get the content generation you want you need to finetune the models. 21st century graphic designers are well aware of AI image generation are looking forward to streamlining animation, etc. Half of the people I know doing ML pipelines right now are actually graphic designers. In a few years what formerly took whole studios will be able to be done by a single person. Want to make your own animated movie? With enough effort, fine tuning, and going through the generation of millions of images, it will soon be possible.

(3) By finetuning with your own unreleased images, you will always get an image model better at making your style of art than whatever is available to the public. You can use your proprietary fine tuned model to create art you enjoy or sell.

(4) Everyone should keep in mind that 50 years ago, to make a high definition film required a studio and millions of dollars to pay production crew. We're getting to the point where a single person can do that on their phone. I don't think the future is as dark as what everyone thinks it will be, and shaking out the tedium of jobs, even art, is going to help redirect our collective brain effort to more important tasks or more beautiful works.

[paganel]

> We're getting to the point where a single person can do that on their phone.

50 years ago we had Godard and À bout de souffle (in fact, 60 years), the man was doing his filming thing on the streets of Paris almost single-handedly, nowadays we don't have anyone close to Godard when it comes to creativity. Yeah, the tech is there, the creativity most certainly is not.

Again, there's no AI that can give us what Eisenstein and Prokofiev did [1] with a lot less technical resources. The real creative classes from today should be fine, problem is (as already stated above) we have forgotten how to be really creative. Again, tech won't help us with that.

[1] https://youtu.be/IcPixaWL2Pg?t=85

[turmeric_root]

> There will be nothing for OpenAI or Google to monetize.

I disagree. FB/Yandex are releasing massive text transformers to the public, but even with the model available to download you need a DGX rack to run inference. Google/OpenAI can make money by charging for access to their hardware.