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by LeanderK 1433 days ago
I think the article is overly sensationalist. But I think the gist is totally realistic. For example, there's a huge chunk of design work that's not super critical and often badly done. I can imagine a simple, AI-assited tool that creates posters, simple websites or flyers in the companies style. But it won't replace graphics designers yet and won't be for some time. I think we are not yet completely ready to create even a simple tool, there are still engineering-challenges to overcome (I am not sure how the technical interface to the ML-would look like, I can't imagine text is enough), but I think we might be very close to have at least something resembling a product.

I know a thing or two about machine learning...and one thing I've learned is that it's very hard to predict the future, even the immediate future. Some problems turn out to be surprisingly easy, but other we just can't solve yet, even super basic things like learning multiple tasks in a sequential but unknown manner without forgetting stuff. I find it hard to predict what ML will look like in three years, except that dalle-3 will be much better. If we have a breakthrough on one of those fundamental problems where we struggle with the basics, then we will open new possibilities quite quickly I think. But it als might be that they require new approaches that will take years or decades to develop.