Since we're looking at objects billions of light years away, we're looking billions of years into the past. In the context of extragalactic life, it's a bit sad to me that even if we somehow spotted it at those insane distances, in the early versions of those galaxies we see, odds are that it'll be gone by now, and we'll likely be gone by the time any lucky photons born in our solar system can reach those places, too. Even so, it's cool to think that the odds of life being out there somewhere in a universe so vast are really quite good, inaccessible as it may be.
Or maybe not. If you consider how improbable is the origin of life on the earth then maybe it's not even enough planets in the observable universe to start a life. But the universe is much greater than its observable part.
What is the probability of life originating on earth?
We know it is anywhere from 0 (originated elsewhere and found its way here) to 1 (originated here and is guaranteed to originate given the conditions). I don't think we have enough data points to determine improbability yet.
What is the probability of life originating in the universe? We know it is definitely greater than 0..
Humanity has found aminoacids in asteroids. Given enough time and energy, it seems likely to me that structures would form and then evolve in complexity.
Agreed. I realized recently that planets not only need a goldilocks configuration but likely also need to have a liquid metal core to create a protective magnetic field.
It would still occur quite a bit, and some planets with a protective field likely still produce simple life forms.