[vintermann]

I explained at length why I agree with the Thoreau quote.

> The outcomes of inaction are equally as "profoundly unknowable" as the outcomes of taking action.

Absolutely.

> From an "unintended consequences" perspective, it's a wash.

Indeed. That's exactly what I said.

> So we might as well focus on the first order known consequences

Sure. Or we might not. Either is permissible because...

> which are pretty clear.

That's where you've been lied to. And the site author absolutely should have added an example where the description didn't match up with what happened at all.