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by scotty79 1464 days ago
The thing they describe as the box is literally a Ponzi scheme. You put in some money and you get high guaranteed return.

You have money, and you even can cash out some unless too many people try to cash out at the same time. Then it turns out there's no money to cover the returns.

Key innovation that further obfuscates this is that instead of cashing out directly you might use IOUs from the Ponzi scheme as a collateral to borrow some money and never pay it back leaving your Ponzi collateral with person that borrowed you money.

Noone has an incentive to cash out direclty to not endanger percieved valuability of Ponzi box. And everybody has incentive to push as much IOUs to as many new people as possible in exchange for hard currency.

2 comments

Many---nearly all---altcoins are dangerously close to ponzi schemes, except bitcoin. Bitcoin stands apart as the sole protocol that's really decentralized and doesn't promise ridiculous returns.

However, given that Bitcoin is jn the process of monetizing and may become the world's base layer of money, it stands to gain a lot of value the long term compared to the melting icebergs of central bank and commercial bank created fiat currencies.

If this doesn't make sense, please read "The Bitcoin Standard" and "Inventing Bitcoin" to understand this technological advance.

One can prefer sundials to watches, but reality was changed when the watch was invented.

It’s not a Ponzi scheme. It’s a bubble—the belief is that prices will rise on the open market.

You get tokens for putting money in the box. You can sell the tokens on an exchange later for cash. The cash comes from exchange participants, not box people. All the box people receive the tokens they expect. They don’t receive tokens from new box people.

If it’s 1995 and Toys R Us is giving away Beanie Babies to the first 250,000 Elmo buyers, that’s not a Ponzi. If somebody buys lots of Elmos to flip Beanie Babies knowing 250,000 Beanie Babies are going to hit the market, they are delusional. It’s still not a Ponzi. It’s a bubble.

Bitcoin is a bubble. Protocol that arbitratily rewards holding is what makes this Ponzi.

Awarding tokens without efficient mechanism to destroy them causes inflation when speed of printing exceeds the speed of raising demand for them. And there's no way to correct it so inflation can turn into hyperinflation and run on bank and collapse of the whole scheme.

If bitcoin is just a bubble why is it still here after 'popping' like five times. And if the protocol that rewards the token holders is a Ponzi who is the Ponzi schemer?

It seems to me much more like the beanie baby thing.

> If bitcoin is just a bubble why is it still here after 'popping' like five times.

Because it is built to be infinitely reinflatable. Bitcoin bubble popping changes nothing about Bitcoin and human greed.

> And if the protocol that rewards the token holders is a Ponzi who is the Ponzi schemer?

People who create the protocol and set the rewards for themselves and others and cash out before the whole thing collapses.