[deltree7]

The minute, someone uses VR to gain/master skills 5x-10x times faster than regular users, everyone will switch to VR.

The minute, enterprises use VR to improve productivity, everyone will switch to VR.

I'm always astounded by the lack of imagination from smart people that they get so fixated on small things while completely missing the bigger picture.

That's how you end up with Grammar Nazis, REST Nazis, TDD Nazis, Security Nazis, Code Format Nazis.

Make no mistake, society needs people who are obsessed or paranoid about little things, but they aren't the ones you look up to or go to for next generation advances.

So, as usual I'll take any HN future prediction with grain of salt and stick to people who have created Trillion $ companies or built products used by Billions.

[FooHentai]

>The minute, someone uses VR to gain/master skills 5x-10x times faster than regular users, everyone will switch to VR. I have little doubt that this is the killer VR app that we just haven't found a way to deploy yet - Imagine, say, an auto manufacturer issuing a digital twin of their vehicle to mechanics that includes walkthroughs for each maintenance procedure. The scaffolding on both the production and consumption sides which would be necessary to support this are significant, though.

[causality0]

A mechanic can read a repair manual much faster than watching a walkthrough.

[imtringued]

He isn't going to watch a walkthrough he is going to repair it in VR. Learning by doing.

[Helitico]

AR for some mechanics is probably helpful in one way or the other.

But when you create a digital twin for traingin, VR or AR, it will be easier to teach a robot to do that job without any human. It might be that VR/AR is a short intermediate step, but robots are the future.

And i' still waiting for the master skill application. Were is it? What is it? Why does the lizard talk about tech stuff in his video only and not about what you will do with it? Guess why?

[towaway15463]

Full body tracking without extra equipment and much better hand tracking are on their way. Those are the keys to unlocking a lot of skill training. The other big hurdle is just building the software, someone with domain knowledge has to create Electrician Simulator 2023. Industry is doing this right now in a few areas, wider adoption will increase that pace.

[Helitico]

I do see the industry training use cases.

But i think it will end up like 3d printing: Fun and niche for nerds and the professional versions are better and more expensive and only yused for their usecases.

[lm28469]

s/The Minute/If

And even then, not so many people care about being productive or to master new skills.

[deltree7]

once again, you are underestimating the potential.

When I say skills you are limiting your imagination drudge-work skills. Skills could also be Tennis, Dancing, Sex, Golf.

Productivity could also be fixing your car, bikes, plumbing.

VR is one of the few technologies which both lazy and active people can benefit.

Unless you put yourself in the category of a neck-beard who doesn't like moving from your lazy-boy and also don't like porn, the category of people who won't benefit from real-life VR is very tiny.

Once something benefits them, People will jump through all kinds of hoops to get them

[lm28469]

I don't think I underestimate the tech. People were predicting mainstream flying cars by the year 2000s

I think tech bros are way overestimating the interest of people in general. Nobody's going to train for sex or sport in VR, it lacks 90% of the experience.

People want to live real world thing, not evolve in a virtual world alone with appendices that barely mimic real life sensations.

[deltree7]

Flying cars depends on massive capital spending on infrastructure, manufacturing to build a thing only the top 1% ile can afford. Not to mention massive changes to law. There is also a big binary chasm to cross (fly as safe an airplanve vs not)

A $300 VR headset has none of those barriers and is open to millions of developers and can constantly iterate.

Understand the difference and you'll become a better investor.

Else you are just falling for the Availability Heuristic Fallacy