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by justinzollars 1469 days ago
Atlanta FED GDPNow recently downgraded expectations: https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

This is typically an accurate measure.

1 comments

Sure. And if GDP goes negative, and if employment falls etc etc then people will start saying recession. I was just trying to answer the GPs question, not predict whether or not this is a recession!

By the way the official declaration by the U.S. bureaucracies of the onset of a recession typically lags the actual onset by a year or so.