[nextparadigms]

Apple might win the next quarter, because of the launch boost of iPhone 4S, but it will be their last one. After that it's all Samsung all the way. And no, Apple isn't competing with the Android manufacturers on every price point. This is a common American fallacy, thinking that the contract price is all that matters, and that it's the real price of the phone.

But an iPhone 3GS still costs around $400, while Android manufacturers can make even $100 phones today. What this means is that the iPhone 3GS will still be sold on an expensive contract, while the "free" Android phones will be even on $10 contracts.