[PKop]

As long as Federal reserve keeps tightening monetary conditions, nothing will beat cash. The argument is though that they cannot continue down this path as the amount of debt in the system will result in everything breaking as a result of this tightening.

Also, you do realize this point of view "muh down YTD" is a meme comment yes? Stare at any 6month period of any chart and you can make any argument you want. Are stocks not inflation hedges generally? Yet they are down YTD too. In the period of monetary expansion from 2020 through 2021, did not BTC do just fine hedging this monetary expansion? Even in Wiemar Germany, gold did not go up in a straight line, it was extremely volatile. BTC is more volatile than almost anything else that still long term has worked to hedge expansion of liquidity. BTC moves in line with growth or contraction of liquidity better than anything else. Just look at the charts.

Additionally, my point is this is the framework. It can also be a failed experiment. But there is no scenarios where a finite asset can replace fiat currency. There is theoretical basis for same asset to replace other forms of scarce stores of value. In principle, BTC is a SoV asset, not a transaction currency or unit of account by virtue of its technical fundamentals (un-inflatable supply, expensive to transact, slow).

[unmole]

What do you actually mean by hedge?

> BTC moves in line with growth or contraction of liquidity better than anything else.

> In the period of monetary expansion from 2020 through 2021, did not BTC do just fine hedging this monetary expansion?

How is it a hedge if it moves in line with liquidity?

Why is expansion of liquidity is something one would need to hedge against?

[PKop]

Because some portion of cost of living will expand with it..housing prices, other financial assets and therefore wealth of those investing in them, and in the future, costs of commodities and other consumption items as investors drain the stored energy in these "liquidity capacitors" and the money flows into the real economy.

"mitigate the potential negative effects of" I guess..

>How is it a hedge if it moves in line with liquidity?

I don't know what you're asking? Liquidity expansion inflates assets, and BTC inflates more than almost anything, especially over a multi-year time frame.

It hedges just holding cash. It hedges the opportunity cost of not investing while invest-able assets are going up in value, and wages on a relative basis are not.

>Why is expansion of liquidity is something one would need to hedge against?

Sort of a philosophical question lol. Maybe you don't. If one wants to invest at all (why though?) this is a framework for thinking about that process.

[unmole]

A hedge is meant to control risk by taking an offsetting position. Whatever you're describing is most definitely not a hedge.

[alexb_]

>BTC inflates more than almost anything

What the everloving fuck are you talking about? Bitcoin is deflationary to the point that nearly everyone uses it as an "investment" vehicle, not to actually transfer money. Do you even know what inflation is?

[PKop]

Its price inflates. Prior to 2021 when people talk of the Federal reserve keeping rates low, general price inflation was low, but there was "inflation" in asset prices. This is what I'm referring to. Monetary inflation existed and it flowed into financial assets.

[lottin]

You can't expect to make sense of a complex phenomenon without having a proper conceptual framework and terminology.

[PKop]

It sounds like you have those, so let's hear it...