[musha68k]

Europe is so rich it can easily afford all of the great project ideas outlined in the article in addition to a new LHC (and then some).

Let's think big indeed, the author unfortunately has a very reductive vision for the future.

Instead how about:

A renaissance of funding - BIG SCIENCE - education, jobs.

That was basically the promise of the EU - peace through wealth - let's create some more.

Let's bring back the excitement and scientific wonder of the 1960s. This could be a unilateral vision across the democratic spectrum (everyone wants wealth).

And yes, global warming actually should dictate no less. Let's do it now.

Oh and let's just fix poverty while we are at it.

Again, Europe has the means and could do all of that by itself.

[pessimizer]

> That was basically the promise of the EU - peace through wealth - let's create some more.

Doing useless science is the destruction of wealth. The destruction of wealth is pleasurable, don't get me wrong, but that's all it is. They could build gargantuan statues to do the same thing, or accumulate huge stockpiles of weapons.

[deely3]

How did you know that this sciense is useless? What is the difference between building LHC+ and bringing people to the moon again?

[concordDance]

What's it currently doing with that money? I guess we could get rid of funding healthcare and trying to help people out of poverty so that a small number of people get to use a very expensive toy...

You know what would be an awesome big science project that would immeasurably improve future people's lives? Sequencing all genes and using that data provide free embryo selection services to everyone who wants to be a parent.

Would probably cost the same as that giant particle smasher and but unlike the giant ring it would pay for itself in a generation.

[PietdeVries]

Well... The US Defense budget for 2021 alone is 7 times the money needed to build a new LHC (705 billion [1] for the US defense in 2021). Germany will spend a similar 100 billion dollars on weapons in the coming years. So while 100 billion looks like an amazing amount of money, the military spends this in the blink of an eye and without the slightest promise of a RoI...

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_...

[tomcatfish]

I like having something to scale 100B to, but this is a silly argument.

"Instead of cutting this program, just have every military cut funding at once" is not a very realistic path forwards, and we're not going to get the program funded on stuff like that.

In the hypothetical universe we're in here, where we have to convince people now.

[sinenomine]

Embryo selection[1] is criminally underrated. It is a method to permanently enhance the genetic potential of a child of any given couple. It is already live and there are living children, the only remaining issue is scaling[2].

1. https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection

2. https://www.geneticsandsociety.org/biopolitical-times/first-...

[otabdeveloper4]

IVF carries risks of damaging the child's genome and so is fundamentally dysgenic.

[rendall]

Terrifying but intriguing idea. China's one-child policy led to widespread female infanticide and a generation of missing girls. What would prevent some similar unintended consequence in Europe?

[martin_a]

> What would prevent some similar unintended consequence in Europe?

We're not some fucked up dictatorship state?!?

[Georgelemental]

> No, that could never happen here, are you crazy? We're a prosperous and civilized nation!

- Every prosperous and civilized nation's last words

[martin_a]

I think the EU as a group of states seems to work quite well. Furthermore it seems like anti-democratic behaviour is getting punished now, too, if you look over to Poland. I'm quite optimistic that this will further improve.

[Woodi]

Dude, what is your definition of "democracy" ? Because your opinion about Poland state seems to be really, really brain-washed. At best.

Democracy as in free election ? Perfect democracy here - one party won twice, other parties lost. You call it a problem ?

Democracy as in free speech ? Dude ! Wake up ! In Poland is so much free speech that it's boarding with anarchy ! Eg. almost decade of opposition internally and internationally literally urges to harm their own country just to retake power - without any gov punishment or something. Mrs. Merkel ex-pet, Tusk, literally calls for purges, without any law procedures ! Freedom bordered with anarchy !

Maybe you are aware judges here act as caste and they do whatever they want. Law is twisted at will here. Do not saying all the time, just when they want it. And that judges are official* opposition of elected party ! Judges ! Acting politically ! You call that despotism ? Or too much freedom ?

Do we have military state like in France ? No. Do we have censorship like in Germany ? No. Do we have problems with making government like Italy ? No. Do our PM resigned because of corruption and next PM promised silence and no more leeks like in GB ? No.

You see ? It's oasis of peace and happiness here compared to rest of the EU ;)

But tell me pls, what you have in mind about that "anti-democracy" in Poland ?

[Georgelemental]

> anti-democratic behaviour

You will have to be more specific, "democratic" is a grossly overlaoded term these days. When you write "democratic", do you mean "in accordance with the will of the majority of the population", or do you mean "in accordance with the will of unelected EU bureaucrats, the US Department of State, and media elites"?

[rendall]

I'm not sure what the form of government has to do with long-term, unintended consequences deriving from parents regularly choosing the characteristics of their unborn children. Would we have more or fewer: engineers, artists, short people, quirky people, homosexuals, religious people, etc?

[dane-pgp]

Yeah, we'd only kill the disabled and mediocre children standing in the way of our Utopia, nothing immoral like those awful Chinese people do.

[martin_a]

We're talking about embryos here. I think you're well aware about the ongoing discussions on when those are to be considered humans and when not. That's not an easy topic, obviously, but I'm fairly confident that we won't throw babys in the garbage can if we don't like them but try to make those decisions as early as possible.

[telotortium]

> I'm fairly confident that we won't throw babys in the garbage can if we don't like them

Why not? What exactly is the limiting criterion? Sentience is the main criterion that people who want to argue for animal rights and yet support abortion use, and it's a pretty squishy criterion. Already Peter Singer supports veganism and effective altruism (i.e., rebranded utilitarianism), and yet is perfectly okay with both abortion and infanticide, at least until the child gets "sentience".

[skirmish]

Yuval Noah Harari in "Homo Deus" [1], paraphrased: once all your neighbors are selecting their embryos, and you see their children healthier, higher IQ, excelling in school, how long do you think you will hold out?

[1] https://www.amazon.com/dp/0062464345

[Georgelemental]

"Embryo selection"—is that a euphemism for "murdering any unborn child that doesn't have all the "right" genes? Because if so I think your definition of "people's lives" must be very different from mine.

[concordDance]

Well yes, but anti-abortionists are a rapidly shrinking minority that I assumed were pretty much extinct on hacker news.

[vixen99]

Definition? Do you mean no limits at all up to and immediately prior to birth? I'm not sure you'd get unanimity on that. That implies a few seconds separating legal permission to kill from infanticide.

[esarbe]

No, it's just that; embryo selection. It's not an euphemism for what you wrote because an embryo is not a child and you cannot murder an embryo.

From Wikipedia: "A child (plural children) is a human being between the stages of birth and puberty [...]"

You are also conflating the abortion of an embryo with murder; only human persons can be murdered, embryos are not persons, therefore no murder.

I sincerely ask you to cut down the polemics here on HN. It does not lead to fruitful (no pun intended) discussions.

[Veen]

I agree with your position, but it is no less polemical and ideological than the comment you are responding to.

> an embryo is not a child and you cannot murder an embryo

It is not obviously and axiomatically true that embryos are not human (I'm assuming the previous comment meant human and not child). Many people think that they are, which is the source of the disagreement. It probably is fruitless to have this conversation on HN, but you shouldn't just assert the opposing position as if it were settled when it is anything but.

[esarbe]

> but it is no less polemical and ideological than the comment you are responding to.

I beg to differ. I don't think that using dictionary definitions to make ones arguments can be counted as polemic (as in; to use contentious rhetoric). I might be wrong though.

> I'm assuming the previous comment meant human and not child

No, I actually meant 'child'. An human embryo is - obviously - human. No discussion about that. A human embryo is not a child - the definition of that is also pretty much settled, I'd say. (At least from a scientific point of view.)

But maybe I didn't clearly state my case, thus the misunderstanding.

The point I'm making is as follows. Embryos are not children and thus they are not persons. Just as I cannot murder my toe (it might be human, but it's not a person) I cannot murder an embryo.

[dane-pgp]

> A human embryo is not a child - the definition of that is also pretty much settled, I'd say.

To suggest there is only one definition of "child" is even more incorrect than suggesting that it can't refer to an unborn person:

   Definition of child
   …
   3 a : an unborn or recently born person 
       "… Meghan Markle, married Prince Harry, now pregnant with child."

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/child

[Alenycus]

Loads of people disagree with you and believe it is murder and can quote science to back up their argument.

You also don't have any definition with a clear line when this switch from non human to human happens.

It almost always boils down to "when it's convenient for me"

[zdragnar]

It's hardly a polemic when it is a question of existential importance- what does it mean to be human, when does a human begin to exist, and at what point does a human have rights?

[esarbe]

Embryos are without a question human. So is my little toe. The question is whether they are persons.

The importance of the topic doesn't make it impossible to be polemic. I can talk about a very serious topic and be polemic and I can also talk about a trivial matter and not be polemic. The question of polemic is decided by contentious rhetoric.

Equating embryos with children and abortion with murder is polemic.

[zdragnar]

The question is not are embryos human, the question is whether they are independent human life with their own rights.

I don't think it is polemic to disagree on this point, but it rationally follows that if embryos are unique life forms, which are also human, then aborting them is murder.

Personally, I don't agree with that line of reasoning either, but the argument isn't in itself polemic.

Edit: I suppose I should add that I am not treating "human" as a collective noun, the way we might talk about bread or water. "A human" is not merely a little toe, for example.

[larryett]

The problem is western society doesn't really believe in science at this point to save us, it believes in technology.

All our problems are just the engineering problem of AGI. Why waste money on something like this when AI will be "smarter" than us by the time it is built?

We should just do nothing and wait for AI to build the instruments it wants.

Maybe there is the slightest hope in this "overpriced" and long delayed space telescope that is getting ready right now but even with that the narrative will end up being how "AI finds alien planet" or "AI sees first star in the universe".

To really build a new LHC it just needs to be marketed to the populace as a tool for AI research. Done. Everyone knows AI is the future and we are not so stupid to skimp on AI research funding.

Spend all that money on researching particle physics though? What a fucking waste of money.

[runarberg]

I’m not an expert on AI but I was under the impression that AI is just a fancy way to fit data with massive computative power. So if you wanted AI to do science for us it would basically just return the result we expected in a fancy and unexpected way, and even then we might be overfitting. If an AI would return new science we didn’t expect—I don’t see how but lets imagine—we would reject it as a miss.

Take the Event Horizon Telescope as an example here. It requires a massive amount of computational modeling to create those images from a huge dataset. Humans did their science to figure out how the supermassive black holes would look like and created their models (AI if you will) based on this knowledge. Even so they are not free from criticism that they might be overfitting onto a conformation bias and many scientists are waiting for an independent confirmatory observation before they believe the image. Now if you replace the humans in that equation with more models (AGI if you will) how do you even know what you are looking at is even sensical?

I’m not a fan of the LHC++ project either, but I think you might have too much faith in AI and AGI.

[gls2ro]

How do you know that AGI can be reached?

We dont know if we will ever reach AGI and if we want to theoretically demonstrate if we can reach it or not then we need to rely on science.

Engineering alone cannot answer theoretical questions.

[timeon]

> western society doesn't really believe in science at this point to save us, it believes in technology.

I'm afraid - not even in technology at this point.

[nradov]

Much of Europe is now cranking up defense spending in order to deter future Russian aggression, and comply with NATO treaties. That will take precedence over big science projects for the next few years.

[xcambar]

I thought I was an optimistic but you dwarfed me on this to the point of skepticism.

[musha68k]

No worries, check the numbers - this is all in reach - solely up to us :)

[moonchrome]

Money is just one small aspect of it - getting into that kind of research probably requires >2σ IQ, then there's the affinity and motivation - you are left with a small pool of people who can do this work.

By funding toy projects and pipe dreams you are crowding out useful research - and there's plenty of fundamental work in material sciences, superconductivity, etc. that could actually improve the lives of everyone

[alach11]

It sounds like you're worried that creating high-paying fundamental science jobs would pull smart people away from engineering. But it would be more likely to pull smart people from zero-sum (or at least low-sum) fields like advertising and finance.

[moonchrome]

No - there's a lot of science to be done in these fields - it's just applied (ie. practical). When you fund "fundamental" research - you're not only diverting limited funds - you're diverting limited talent - so it's double crowding out.

[JKCalhoun]

I feel like the last renaissance of funding (BIG SCIENCE) was the space race.

Let's do that again. It was at least a lot more multi-disciplinary than an atom-smasher.

[xiphias2]

The Human Genome Project was a huge success. Being able to read the DNA cheaply got us a revolution in biotech (cancer therapies, gene therapies, mRNA delivery, and my favourite: partial / full cell reprogramming)

[orbifold]

Europe has an aging population, which is obese, smokes and has heart problems. It is a dying continent whose boomer generation has decided to transfer large amounts of IP to China for a short term profit, while refusing to have children, protesting against the establishment and being generally useless in their youth.

The millennials and gen-z is royally screwed, the writing has been on the walls for years.

[pvaldes]

Fortunately we have a cure for this, an endless supply of young blood as immigrants. Europe has been a blender of races since the origin.

And about "obese population", Europe is not so bad in fact. Obese people die younger and most elders in Europe are slim.

[ahoka]

Baby boomers refusing to have children? What?!

[orbifold]

Birth rates of children born during the baby boom (the baby boomers) is 2/3 to 1/2 of their parents generation.

[spacemanmatt]

So? Infant survival and life expectancy rates are also way up since their parents generation. You can't just throw around generational statistics without any context at all and call it valid.