One bitcoin transaction costs two orders of magnitude less than my monthly power bill, yet the author claims one transaction uses 2.5 household-months worth of electricity. Something seems way off with the numbers.
I'm not an expert on Bitcoin's power usage, however a few things spring to mind.
- Electricity costs are not constant everywhere, not everyone burning that power is spending the same amount as you (and in general, home farming Bitcoin using the cost of electricity in your area is probably not profitable, at least for most people reading this). It's almost certainly a mistake to use your local electricity rates as a baseline for how much money mining costs.
- Not everyone mining Bitcoin actually pays for their electricity, some of it is stolen. Some mining happens on hacked hardware, sometimes mining rigs tap into electrical sources that they shouldn't have access to.
And the really big reason that springs to mind:
- You are not paying the full electricity cost for mining Bitcoin in transaction fees, the generation of new coins is offsetting some of that cost.
Remember that Bitcoin is a speculative asset first, and a transaction method second. The network, and payout/fee structure for transactions are also constructed in a way that can mess with market forces a bit. There's a lot more going on than just "you want to spend money, pay enough to cover the electricity fees to make that happen."
If the network was amiable to increasing the number of miner contracts per block, wouldn't they have done it already?
Transaction speed and cost is already a regular criticism of the Bitcoin network. It's so much of a criticism that the Bitcoin community made the Lightning Network and started pulling transactions off-chain and pooling them to address that concern.
But they didn't collectively decide to increase the number of allowed miner contracts. They literally built a second network rather than change the max block size.
And in fact it was not only not accepted, it was a big source of controversy to even try to increase the block size. That was the whole deal with Bitcoin Cash, people were outright hostile to this idea.
>If the network was amiable to increasing the number of miner contracts per block, wouldn't they have done it already?
“Contracts” is a verb in that sentence, not a noun, and yes, miners do leave the market as it loses profitability, and no, the network does not have a requirement that there be a minimum number of miners, and there are reasons why they haven't left now but might not leave in the future.
You're not using the "why haven't they done it already" heuristic correctly.
Oh, I see what you mean -- you don't mean contracts as in the number of miner's transactions/rewards per block, you mean contracts as in "the miner pool decreases in size." My bad, that was a mistake on my part.
Agreed, that's definitely a possibility, and that would improve energy usage. However, it would also make the network more vulnerable to 51% attacks, and if Bitcoin were to have enough value to actually replace a financial market, it would need a lot of miners to secure that value or it likely lose that value.
But... quibbles aside, you are completely correct that if mining stops being profitable then fewer people will mine, and that is also the correct answer for how to deal with Bitcoin's energy usage. Bitcoin miners will use as much much energy as it is profitable for them to use, and the only way to make that energy usage go down other than banning crypto would be to decrease the profitability of mining (ie, by keeping transaction fees and payouts low and by reducing other mining rewards) -- and that could be accomplished through either reducing the rewards, moving to another system like PoS that removes the miners entirely, or by Bitcoin's price crashing.
The difference is the mining subsidy. The energy expenditure for a block is related to the total mining reward, which is transaction price + 6.25 newly minted bitcoins.
There are generously 2k transactions per block. Block reward is 6.25 bitcoins. A bitcoin costs $30,000 so the block reward is $187,500. Amortizing over 2k transactions, each transaction is worth a smidge under $100, before transaction fees (which as you point out are two orders of magnitude smaller so don't really matter here). $100 is about the average US monthly power bill, and it doesn't seem unreasonable that miners making use of the cheapest energy around the globe would be paying 2.5x less than that.
If they increase the arbitrary block size by x100 this number will become 21.5 KWh and nothing will change but at least these annoying articles will go away.
That comparison makes no sense. Your monthly power bill includes taxes, grid connection fees, etc - not just the cost of the power. Depending on where you live, there may also be natural gas bundled with electricity, adding costs that are not relevant to bitcoin. A lot of those fees don't scale with electricity used, but are fixed (driving down the marginal cost, etc).
Further, the rates for your home are not the same as rates in other places (odds are that somewhere else has cheaper electricity than you do).
- Electricity costs are not constant everywhere, not everyone burning that power is spending the same amount as you (and in general, home farming Bitcoin using the cost of electricity in your area is probably not profitable, at least for most people reading this). It's almost certainly a mistake to use your local electricity rates as a baseline for how much money mining costs.
- Not everyone mining Bitcoin actually pays for their electricity, some of it is stolen. Some mining happens on hacked hardware, sometimes mining rigs tap into electrical sources that they shouldn't have access to.
And the really big reason that springs to mind:
- You are not paying the full electricity cost for mining Bitcoin in transaction fees, the generation of new coins is offsetting some of that cost.
Remember that Bitcoin is a speculative asset first, and a transaction method second. The network, and payout/fee structure for transactions are also constructed in a way that can mess with market forces a bit. There's a lot more going on than just "you want to spend money, pay enough to cover the electricity fees to make that happen."